I was at the grocery store the other day and I stopped to look at the magazines on display. To my surprise, the latest edition of Scientific American Reports was focused on robotics. Naturally, I picked up a copy and even though I have only read the first 3 articles so far, it looks like a great edition.
The special edition Scientific American hosts a number of articles by well known robotics scientists and futurists who discus the past, present, and future of robotics. The first article is from Microsoft's Bill Gates who discusses the similarities (in his opinion) between the computer revolution and the upcoming robot revolution. Obviously, he does not miss the opportunity to sell Microsoft's entry in robotics in the form of the Microsoft Robotics Studio. I have said before that I like the fact that a large company such as Microsoft has decided to focus some resources on the development of software tools for robot development but I find Gates' articles annoying for the simple reason that he always comes off as if they were the first to think about doing this. Mr. Gates you are not the first to try and develop such software so please get off your high horse about it already!
The 2nd article is written by the well known CMU scientist Hans Moravec who has been a witness of robotics development since the days of the Stanford cart and he has written a number of books on the subject. Moravec starts by talking about the progress in robotics over the last 3 decades and then goes on to talk about where robotics is heading according to his opinion. Using the exponential growth in the performance of digital computers as a guide, he predicts that by 2050 a single computer will match the intelligence of a human brain; he outlines how he believes this will come about in 4 stages, i.e., 4 generations of robots will eventually lead to the creation of machines as intelligent as humans.
Properly educated, the resulting robots will become quite formidable. In fact, I am sure they will outperform us in any conceivable area of endeavor, intellectual or physical. Inevitably, such a development will lead to a fundamental restructuring of our society. Entire corporations will exist without any human employees or investors at all. Humans will play a pivotal role in formulating the intricate complex of laws that will govern corporate behavior. Ultimately, though, it is likely that our descendants will cease to work in the sense that we do now. They will probably occupy their with a variety of social, recreational and artistic pursuits, not unlike today's comfortable retirees or the wealthy leisure classes.
Interestingly, he does not speculate what will happen to us humans when the intelligent robots decide that they are better off playing golf instead of working for us.

The 3rd article is by futurist
Ray Kurzweil who predicts that digital computers will be able to simulate (and as such match the intelligence of) a human brain by 2020; clearly, there is a disagreement of 30 years between Moravec and Kurzweil. Kurzweil predicts that by 2055 a $1000 (constant dollars) computer will have the computational capacity of all human brains on the Earth. In his opinion, one day (obviously this day is only a few decades ahead of us) we will be able to transfer any human brain onto a digital computer and as such continue to exist even long after our bodies have turned into star dust. Honestly, this sounds pretty cool to me and I am glad that, if Kurzweil is correct, might happen within my lifetime meaning that I still have a chance for immortality even if I fail in my scientific career!
At any rate, the rest of the articles are more about current developments in robotics and their use today. There are two articles on space exploration. One article advocates the use of robots for exploring space while the other advocates the importance of human astronauts. I haven't read these yet but the articles address a subject that has been under debate for the last few years and I am looking forward to reading the authors' opinions on the subject.
Moreover, there are articles on swarm robotics, the ballbots, brain computer interfaces and artificial muscles. Finally, there is an extensive article about the
Grand Challenge and the innovations that resulted from the fierce competition among the teams looking for a place in human history.
Overall, this issue of Scientific American is very interesting and I can't wait to read all of it. The writing is very high level so anyone can understand it without requiring a PhD in robotics or artificial intelligence. The magazine will be available on news stands until May 6, 2008.
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